A Monmouth University poll released Wednesday found 48 percent of respondents said they would definitely or probably vote for Fetterman, while 44 percent said they would definitely or probably vote for Oz. Fetterman also appears to have a slightly higher ceiling of support, with 54 percent saying they would definitely or probably not vote for Oz and only 49 percent saying they definitely or probably wouldn’t vote for Fetterman. Fetterman’s support in recent Monmouth polling has held steady, while Oz has made small but steady gains. Oz’s overall support is up from 39 percent in September, and his “certain” support is up 7 points since early October. An improvement among independents is behind this bump, with Oz rising from 29 percent of the group in September to 41 percent now. But Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said there appeared to be no evidence of a major shift in the race, despite Fetterman’s debate performance. “Fetterman’s performance may have had an impact on the margins, but we see no indication of a wholesale change in the race,” he said. Voters have more confidence in Oz to be able to effectively serve a six-year term in the Senate, with 59 percent saying Oz is capable and 48 percent saying Fetterman is. However, many respondents, 48 ​​percent, said they believed Fetterman’s explanation that his speech problems did not affect his ability to think or do his job. About 40 percent said they didn’t believe him. Fetterman was aided by closed captioning throughout the debate, but often struggled to form clear sentences as he continues to recover from a stroke he suffered in May. Most voters said they had no serious concerns about the debate or saw or heard nothing about the debate. More than 20 percent said the debate raised serious concerns, but they were not reconsidering their vote. New Poll Shows Party Divide in Trust of Federal Electoral System Bill Clinton on Gun Violence: ‘We Must Act Now’ Only 3 percent of the electorate said they were reconsidering their vote because of what they saw in the debate. The race will likely be key in determining which party controls the Senate majority. The poll was conducted from October 27 to 31 among 608 registered voters who have participated in at least one general election since 2016 or registered since 2020. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.