The Nb Death Rate Was The Highest In Canada In The Last Six Months Of 2021

New Brunswick officially recorded just 37 deaths from COVID-19 in the last five weeks of 2021, but according to the new Statistics Canada’s new modeling, 1,129 people died during the period – 327 more than would normally be expected. at the time of year. This pushed New Brunswick’s “excessive death rate” in the last six months of 2021 to the highest among Canadian provinces, an issue that needs to be investigated and explained, according to an infectious disease specialist at the University of Toronto. “The level of excessive mortality in New Brunswick during this period is enormous,” said Associate Professor Tara Moriarty. “And if COVID does not kill people, what the hell is it?” This chart plots the weekly death toll in New Brunswick for eight years. The gray line shows how deaths in the second half of 2021 reached record levels. (Statistical Service Canada) Statistics Canada monitors deaths in each province each month during the COVID-19 pandemic and compares them to what would be expected in a normal year, in an effort to detect “excessive mortality” caused by the virus so directly as well as indirectly. With the latest New Brunswick estimates for December and revisions to previous estimates, Statistics Canada now says New Brunswick had more deaths than normal in each of the last 25 consecutive weeks of 2021.
In all, 4,599 people died in the province during those 25 weeks, 886 more than normal. It is 23.9 percent more than one would expect in the absence of a pandemic and the highest rate among provinces during this period – ahead of British Columbia, Saskatchewan and Alberta.
“To understand the direct and indirect consequences of the pandemic, it is important to measure the excessive mortality that occurs when there are more deaths than expected in a given period,” the Statistics Canada said in a statement. “There is evidence of excessive mortality when weekly deaths are consistently higher than expected, but especially when they exceed the expected range for several consecutive weeks.” In its latest issue, Statistics Canada includes new mortality figures for New Brunswick from November 28 to January 1, a time when the county was under siege from rapidly rising COVID-19 infections. New Brunswick had largely lost its battle to curb COVID-19 through an “eradication strategy” after prematurely lifting health protection measures, according to health officials, including Dr. Gordon Dow, an infectious disease specialist. the Horizon Health Network of the province. Most precautions were lifted in the summer of 2021 as soon as the Delta variant was released. Outbreaks in the county rose from an average of 13 a day in August to 47 a day in September, and by December an average of 192 people in the county had tested positive for the virus every twenty-four hours. Schools closed early for an extended Christmas break, organized sports were suspended and home bubbles in their 20s were raised again in an effort to contain the epidemic. In the last 25 weeks of 2021, New Brunswick recorded 114 deaths from COVID-19. However, 886 people more than normal, 23.9 percent, died. It was the highest death rate among the provinces. (Nathan Denette / The Canadian Press) “We were all hoping for a better end to this year,” Dr Jennifer Russell, chief medical officer, told a news conference on December 21. During that time, Statistics Canada now says deaths in New Brunswick have also risen to record levels. An estimated 93 more people died than normal in the week ended December 4, with another 234 more than normal in the next four weeks. Moriarty says the fact that deaths were rising at the same time as infections suggests the two should be linked. “There was a Delta wave in New Brunswick and you can really see it in the mortality data,” Moriarty said. “The overlap is almost perfect in time. This is a very important indication that many of them are likely to be related to COVID.” Tara Moriarty is an infectious disease specialist and researcher at the University of Toronto. He says the fact that COVID-19 infections and unexplained deaths increased simultaneously in 2021 suggests they are linked. (Lisa Xing / CBC) Moriarty said some deaths could only be caused indirectly by COVID – such as someone who has a heart attack and “delays access to emergency care, for example, as he is afraid to go to the hospital”, but said that whatever caused the deaths should to be located. It is important to help fully understand the virus and better plan public health responses to future variants and pandemics. The New Brunswick Department of Health said it was aware the county had experienced excessive deaths in 2021, but was not yet ready to acknowledge that it could have calculated the deaths from COVID. “Excessive deaths reported by Statistics Canada could be linked to COVID, although further analysis is needed to validate the actual number of COVID-19-related deaths in New Brunswick in 2021,” she said. Michelle Guenard’s communications officer in an email. on CBC News earlier this month. “It has been decided that the Department of Health will complete a death toll analysis when all deaths recorded for 2021 are coded with the Statistics Canada.”